Should I do Roth or Traditional 401(k)?

The enrollment form asks one question you cannot answer by feel: pay the tax now or later. For the 2026 deferral limit of $24,500, this page posts the worked example at a 24% rate today versus 18% in retirement — and shows the number that decides it.

Worked at $24,500 a year for 30 years at 7%, 24% now vs 18% in retirement: $141,740 tax-free in Roth against $152,930 spendable in Traditional — Traditional wins by $11,190.

The worked example — $24,500 a year, 30 years, 7%

Roth goes in (after 24% tax)$18,620
Roth tax paid today$5,880
Roth at retirement, tax-free$141,740
Traditional grows to$186,500
Traditional tax later (18%)$33,570
Traditional spendable$152,930
Employer match (4%), after-tax value$6,117
VerdictTraditional by $11,190

The 401(k) version of the choice has one wrinkle the IRA version lacks: the employer match. Match dollars are nearly always pre-tax, even when your contributions are Roth, so most 401(k) participants already own some Traditional money whether they chose it or not. In the worked example, a 4% match adds $6,117 of after-tax spending power on top of whichever side you pick — it is a constant, not a tiebreaker.

The deciding number is the same as everywhere else: your marginal rate today versus your marginal rate in retirement. At 24% now and 18% later, Traditional banks the 24% deduction and pays 18% on the way out. The $11,190 gap is the reward for being in a lower bracket when you withdraw. If your retirement bracket rises above today’s — a pension, a working spouse, big RMDs — the stamp flips.

For 2026, the employee deferral limit is $24,500 if you are under 50. High earners who want more Roth than the limit allows should read the high-earner page: the backdoor Roth IRA is the overflow valve.

Run your own numbers in the calculator

Posted at the bottom of the sheet

Should I do Roth or Traditional 401(k)?
Compare your marginal tax rate today with the rate you expect in retirement. Worked example at the 2026 limit: $24,500 a year for 30 years at 7%, 24% now versus 18% in retirement, ends at $141,740 tax-free in Roth versus $152,930 spendable in Traditional -- a $11,190 edge for Traditional. A higher retirement rate flips the answer to Roth.
Does the employer match change the Roth vs Traditional answer?
No -- the match is nearly always pre-tax either way, so it adds the same Traditional-style dollars regardless of your choice. At 4% on $24,500 a year for 30 years at 7%, it is worth about $6,117 in after-tax spending power at an 18% retirement rate.
What is the 2026 401(k) contribution limit?
The 2026 employee deferral limit is $24,500 if you are under 50; catch-up contributions raise it further at 50 and up. The worked example on this page uses the full $24,500.
Can I split between Roth and Traditional 401(k)?
Yes, if your plan offers both -- many workers split to hedge an uncertain future rate. Splitting is diversification of tax risk, not a way to beat the math: each dollar still wins or loses on the same rate comparison.

Filed under retirement taxes